Ouya Will Fail, But Here's Why it Shouldn't

Admittedly, I don't follow the open source scene very much. I don't care to hack things, I've never rooted a smartphone, jailbroke a console, or done much with homebrew. The closest I got was buying an R4 card for my DS, which allowed some limited media playback and software ROMs to be played. Frankly the homebrew games that I tried on that were forgettable at best, and in general my experience has been that homebrew games are crap, akin to the shovelware on the Android marketplace.

Don't get me wrong, the world of open source has produced some very cool things, and has been very important in the development of computing. In fact, it's unavoidable. These days, the most useful things coming from the open source community are utilitarian in nature, from running simple file servers to streaming media. Open hardware platforms are a slightly different beast, but still very cool in concept, and sometimes even in practice.

iPad redux

When the first iPad came about, I like much of the internet media and public rejected the idea as derivative and superfluous. I didn't see the market for an oversized iPod Touch, and didn't see Apple putting much thought into the design other than to say "it's magic". Well I like many others were dead wrong, and the thing sold like crack candy. I should know better than to doubt the success of an Apple-branded consumer device. But really, as little effort as Apple put into it, they touched on the desire for tablet computers way before anyone else, and because they were Apple, people flocked to it, eager to get a hold of the new form factor. Sometimes good timing is all you need.

So in the wake of an onslaught of competing tablets bursting at the seams for a release, we have the iPad 2, destined to continue the success of the original, again with very little effort. It's the first iPad, but with a thinner enclosure and faster hardware, and the cameras finally glued in place. In a nod to Moore's Law, it debuts at the same price of the predecessor, and from that perspective you can say they're at least not gouging people on it. But the reality is Apple's up to their old tricks of arrogance with a pinch of innovation, except in the case of the tablet market, their only selling point is that they came first. That helps them win the popularity contest, but things are going to become a great deal more cutthroat in a short amount of time.

ARMed for a Revolution

Back in 2009 I first wrote about ARM in a rambling I titled ARM's Ascension in which I talked about the rising aspirations and potential of ARM processors in the general computing field. A lot of what I said still rings true, and a lot of what seemed apparent in the future of the market back then is now known to not be true anymore. Smartbooks were prototyped many times, but never made it into shipping products. Instead what happened was the iPad.

iPad ended up doing exactly what many other Apple products have done in the past. When Apple entered the portable media player market, it flourished. When they entered the smartphone market, it flourished. Now that they've entered the tablet market, or maybe better said, initialized the tablet market, that market is set to flourish also. At the forefront of this new emerging form factor is ARM. No matter what SoC your product is using, be it Apple A4, Qualcomm Snapdragon, Samsung Hummingbird, or NVIDIA Tegra 2, ARM lies in the center of it. From the get-go it seems ARM has an iron grip on the market, leaving competitors, namely Intel, with a cliff face of an uphill climb if they want in on it.

iPass

There's a lot to love about the tablet concept. People are moving towards smaller computers, and that means desktops are getting replaced by notebooks. And since notebooks are hot, bulky, and lose their charge real quick, they must be replaced with something that's easier to tote around. Netbooks are much easier to carry, and have good battery life, but you still need a place to put them when in use. Then you have smartphones, but generally they're too small to get any real work done.

So then the concept of the tablet comes in. Let me first say that I'm not talking about those laptops with swiveling touchscreens...hell no. I'm talking about the convergence of the strengths of smartphones and laptops into one device that's as easy to carry around the house as it is to carry around world. Anand describes the idea well. It's a Star Trek-like device (as he puts it) built for a totally new and emerging usage model. Like him, it's the sort of thing I've been waiting a long time for. So when Apple announced the iPad, my interest was piqued.

Updates, updates...

So CES is this week. Palm launched new stuff. Intel launched new stuff. AMD launched new stuff. More importantly, NVIDIA launched new stuff.

NVIDIA has succeeded again in releasing another SoC that everyone wants. Hopefully they succeed this time at actually delivering it to everyone who wants one. Last time Tegra's only notable design win was the Zune HD, a largely forgettable media player that...well, everyone largely forgot about shortly after its release. But that was all it had. Earlier at the start of this blog I had gushed at the possibilities of its use in smartbooks, only to be disappointed at the close of the year by the absence of said smartbooks. Turns out Mobinnova (and others) was simply waiting for Tegra 2, and for good reason. Packing two out-of-order dual-issue FPU-enabled ARM Cortex A9s, it beats the shit out of Tegra 1. Every demo of a tablet (I guess some are calling those "slate PCs" now) or smartbook using Tegra showed a sluggish running system. The thing was simply not meant for full-sized computing endeavours, and let's face it, we're not even talking full-sized demands here. But Tegra 2 should have no problem handling any Firefox-browsing aspirations, and hell even some HD media and gaming on the side. Cooler still, it's built on 40nm. Usually side products like this--chipsets, bridge chips, NVIO, whatever else NVIDIA makes that's not a GPU--get second class manufacturing, but not this time. I guess it's a sign NVIDIA's really taking this seriously, and if worst comes to worst, I think they're banking on supporting themselves on this little "side product" if at all possible. Apparently they see the mobile SoC market as being worth billions, overshadowing any other market they've ever been in, so it could very well be the next big thing for them. Well, the only other big thing for them aside from GPUs. For now let's hope Tegra 2 makes it into some kickass products that we can actually buy.

ARM's Ascension

NVIDIA hopes to grow their Tegra business to eventually make up 50% of their revenue. By scoring a win with the Zune HD, possibly ending up in the future Nintendo handheld and Apple products, and countless other media, phone, and computing devices, it's no wonder why their expectations might be high. SoCs have always been very popular in the ultra-portable scene, and Tegra is among many leading the way for the future of this technology sector. With hardware accelerated flash, video, graphics and audio support, the capabilities of such SoCs has grown to the point of surpassing the form-factor of just smartphones, to encompass a vast array of devices extending all the way up to notebook-like devices, dubbed "smartbooks".

It's for this reason that ARM is becoming better positioned to take the computing world by storm in the near future. With their recent partnership with the newly formed GlobalFoundries manufacturing company, it's clear they intend on increasing the capabilities of their chips beyond the scope of what they're best known for today.

A busy week

Everyday when I wake up I turn on my computer and look at my feeds. There is a modest twelve subscriptions right now, and I find going through those on an average day to be laborious enough. I do it though to stay on top of things, because I've found that if there's one thing I enjoy, it's staying up-to-date with all the tech.

This week however has been an especially difficult one as far as that task goes. Two very major events are going on in fields I'm especially interested in: Computex, and E3. A lot of interesting gadgets and games have been revealed as a result of these two shindigs, but one device that I keep coming back to is this little thing.